Weak governance, volatile oil prices hinder Nigeria’s rating upgrade — FITCH REPORT

Adeneye Tunji | Thursday, October 17, 2013 | 0 comments

ASUU-STRIKEGlobal rating agency, Fitch Ratings, yesterday disclosed that Nigeria’s chances of a rating upgrade are constrained by weak governance, low per capita income and vulnerability to oil price volatility.
However, Fitch, in its latest report, affirmed Nigeria’s long-term foreign and local currency, Issuer Default Ratings, IDR, and senior unsecured bond ratings at ‘BB-’ and ‘BB’ respectively, with a stable outlook.
Fitch also affirmed Nigeria’s short-term foreign currency IDR at ‘B’ and country ceiling at ‘BB-’.

The rating agency expressed concern that strong vested interests will make structural reform in Nigeria a continual struggle, especially with elections in 2015, adding that data weaknesses hampered the monitoring of economic and fiscal performance and reform progress in the country.
On the factors that hindered Nigeria’s chances for a rating upgrade, Fitch noted that the country witnessed a sustained period of lower oil prices or oil production, coupled with an inappropriate policy response, which led to serious reserve loss and deterioration in the fiscal position.

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